Game Result Predictions
Friday, March 23
Friday, March 23
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Gardner-Webb (31-27) | 3 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | ✔ | 4 | +3.5 | 29% | ✔ | |
| Campbell (35-26) | 6 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | 7 | -3.5 | 71% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Radford (25-32) | 3 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | ✔ | 3 | +4.0 | 28% | ✔ | |
| High Point (34-22) | 7 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | 7 | -4.0 | 72% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Radford (25-32) | 6 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | ✔ | 3 | +4.0 | 28% | ✔ | |
| High Point (34-22) | 15 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | 7 | -4.0 | 72% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| UNC Asheville (13-38) | 1 | 4 | +5.0 | 33% | ✔ | 3 | +6.0 | 20% | ✔ | |
| Liberty (32-26) | 8 | 9 | -5.0 | 67% | 9 | -6.0 | 80% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| UNC Asheville (13-38) | 7 | 4 | +5.0 | 33% | ✘ | 3 | +6.0 | 20% | ✘ | |
| Liberty (32-26) | 4 | 9 | -5.0 | 67% | 9 | -6.0 | 80% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Charleston Southern (19-35) | 4 | 4 | +2.0 | 42% | ✔ | 5 | -1.0 | 56% | ✘ | |
| Presbyterian College (15-39) | 7 | 6 | -2.0 | 58% | 4 | +1.0 | 44% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Longwood (17-38) | 3 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | ✔ | 3 | +3.5 | 30% | ✔ | |
| Winthrop (25-31) | 4 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | 6 | -3.5 | 70% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Longwood (17-38) | 0 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | ✔ | 3 | +3.5 | 30% | ✔ | |
| Winthrop (25-31) | 8 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | 6 | -3.5 | 70% | |||
Friday, March 23 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 88%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 75%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 88%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 75%
Overall Results (851 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 70%.